Wednesday, September 02, 2009

Remember all the hand-wringing... [Bryan]

Remember all the hand-wringing about the big, $700 billion bank bailout last year? How is that turning out? It actually seems to be turning out well, although it is still probably too early to tell. So far, taxpayers have made about $4 billion. The New York Times reports:
Nearly a year after the federal rescue of the nation’s biggest banks, taxpayers have begun seeing profits from the hundreds of billions of dollars in aid that many critics thought might never be seen again. The profits, collected from eight of the biggest banks that have fully repaid their obligations to the government, come to about $4 billion, or the equivalent of about 15 percent annually, according to calculations compiled for The New York Times.
At this point, I guess I should, um, give some credit to President Bush who pushed this through over Republican objections. (I think that this a first for this blog!)

Now, remember all the hand-wringing over the $800 billion stimulus package? How is that turning out? The Wall Street Journal reports:
The U.S. economy is beginning to show signs of improvement, with many economists asserting the worst is past and data pointing to stronger-than-expected growth. On Tuesday, data showed manufacturing grew in August for the first time in more than a year....

Much of the stimulus spending is just beginning to trickle through the economy, with spending expected to peak sometime later this year or in early 2010. The government has funneled about $60 billion of the $288 billion in promised tax cuts to U.S. households, while about $84 billion of the $499 billion in spending has been paid...

Economists say the money out the door -- combined with the expectation of additional funds flowing soon -- is fueling growth above where it would have been without any government action.

Many forecasters say stimulus spending is adding two to three percentage points to economic growth in the second and third quarters, when measured at an annual rate. The impact in the second quarter, calculated by analyzing how the extra funds flowing into the economy boost consumption, investment and spending, helped slow the rate of decline and will lay the groundwork for positive growth in the third quarter -- something that seemed almost implausible just a few months ago. Some economists say the 1% contraction in the second quarter would have been far worse, possibly as much as 3.2%, if not for the stimulus.
The next time someone says that the government should cut spending in the recession, feel free to snicker.

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