Friday, August 26, 2011

Thoughts on current events [Bryan]

Various tidbits from the political scene, both good and bad:

1. Many of my conservative friends are now excited about Texas Governor Rick Perry, and want him to be our next president. For now, I'll simply point out that, at least on one issue, he seems like something of a moral monster: "He vetoed a bill that would have spared the mentally retarded, and sharply criticized a Supreme Court ruling that juveniles were not eligible for the death penalty." (source)

2. President Obama's health reform initiative had two big goals: increase access to health insurance for those who don't have it and, less well known, decrease federal health care costs. Early evidence suggests already some success on the second front: "Over the year ending May 2011, Medicare claims costs rose at an annual rate of 2.64%, as measured by the Healthcare Economic Medicare Index. That number is down 4.36 percentage points since May 2010, and down 5.53 percentage points since its November 2009 high. This represents the lowest annual growth rate in the six years S&P has been tracking the health care information." (source)

3. NATO involvement in the Libyan civil war appears to at least have avoided the worst case scenario of a long-term stalemate. Still, President Obama's handling of this issue with respect to the War Powers Act, in which he circumvented congressional approval because, the administration said, tactical bombing is not the "right kind" of hostilities imagined by the Act, remains one of the dumbest arguments I've ever heard in politics. (source)

4. The damage done to the economy by the Republican's no-compromise hostage-taking over the debt limit is now becoming evident. Everyone from the rating agencies, like S&P, to Ben Bernake, the Republican Fed Chairman, point to this wild Tea-Party brinkmanship as one important cause of recent economic turmoil (see here and here).

5. Obama's much criticized auto-bailout quietly appears to be one of things keeping the economy from becoming much worse: "Taxpayers bailed out much of the U.S. auto industry. Now the carmakers might be what saves the nation's economy from falling back into recession. After a massive restructuring and several high-profile bankruptcies, a leaner, more aggressive auto industry is making a comeback, hiring workers and ramping up manufacturing plants. From a trough two years ago, Ford Motor Co., General Motors Co., Chrysler Group and other auto companies have added almost 90,000 manufacturing jobs, a 14% increase, according to federal employment data." (source)

6. When people blame Obama for his "out-of-control government spending," I always like to ask them to name the new legislation that has been enacted under the Democrats that increases government outlays. Beyond the 2008 stimulus, which was a one-shot deal and therefore not a driver of future deficits, they can't. The reason: significant new legislation that increases spending does not exist. Current deficits are caused almost entirely by the recession and Bush-era tax cuts.


7. New, peer-reviewed research on global warming is not encouraging: "At last year’s annual American Association for the Advancement of Science meeting, UC Santa Barbara’s William Freudenberg gave a presentation in which he revealed that “new scientific findings are found to be more than twenty times as likely to indicate that global climate disruption is ‘worse than previously expected,’ rather than ‘not as bad as previously expected.’” Yikes. (source)

8. Politifact verifies the reality: "The top 1 percent of all income earners in the United States made 23.5 percent of all income -- more than the entire bottom 50 percent. The percentage of income going to the top 1 percent has nearly tripled since the 1970s. In the mid-1970s, the top 1 percent earned about 8 percent of all income. In the 1980s, that figure jumped to 14 percent. In the late 1990s, that 1 percent earned about 19 percent." Meanwhile, preserving slightly lower marginal tax rates for these wealthy folks seems to be the only major policy goal of the Republican party. (source)

4 comments:

miche said...

All very good points Bryan.

Monica said...

Last year Obama extended the Bush tax cuts. Is this included in "stimulus tax cuts" on the graph? It seems a bit ironic to me that the left complains so much about the Bush tax cuts and how much they have harmed our country, but then they extended them. I know it was an inopportune time to not extend them and I'm glad they did, but it shows that they wouldn't have done anything different in the years previous. It is nice though that you can lump all of those nasty tax cuts on Bush's side.

Here is a link from a news article back in December about Obama extending these nasty Bush tax cuts, with his administration applauding him on. Encore, encore!

http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20026069-503544.html

Kyle

Bryan and Ellie said...

Good question, Kyle. I'm not sure where those are included, if they are. Also, I'm not sure where the CBO's projected savings from Obamacare are not included in the graph, if they are.

I think it really misconstrues history to say "the left" was applauding him. If you'll recall, "the left" was horrified at this (as your article also points out) and sees this as yet another instance of Obama "selling out" to compromise with conservatives. And, if you recall the debate at the time, Obama himself made this compromise on taxes only after trying to modify it significantly.

Monica said...

The article says it was an $858 billion tax cut bill that passed, and I don't see a figure that big on your graph referring to tax cuts.

I do know that the left wasn't applauding him on this. But the bill did pass a House and Senate largely controlled by Democrats at the time. So how much of the opposition was political posturing? Most voted it through in the end. You have to see at least some irony in this.

It is easy to talk so negative about Bush's tax cuts with a microphone in your hand, but when it came down to it...they extended the tax cuts that they have so vehemently criticized.

Kyle